A Quiet NAR Success on Its Calls for Action

By Robert Freedman, Senior Editor, REALTOR® Magazine

There are many reasons for the success of NAR’s most recent Call for Action, to which more than 18 percent of NAR members—a record— responded.

First and foremost is the compelling subject of the CFA: getting the home buyer tax credit extended and expanded. As NAR Chief Ecionomist Lawrence Yun has been saying for weeks, residential home prices are stabilizing and are on the cusp of heading up—the all-important precursor to restored confidence in homeownership. We’re relying on that improved confidence to boost sales, tighten inventories, and restore healthy credit markets.

Given that, letting the credit expire on Nov. 30 could have stopped sales momentum dead in its tracks.

It was also huge that Congress added the $6,500 credit for repeat buyers, because throughout 2009 much of the sales weight has been carried by first-time buyers. For market stability, repeat buyers needed to get off the fence and Congress saw that. Read more

Middle-Market Is Next Home Segment to Improve

By Robert Freedman, Senior Editor, REALTOR® Magazine

Executives from some of the largest brokerages in the country expect to see their sales grow 6-8 percent in 2010 and home prices to start heading up about 3 percent, REALTORS® heard in a state of the real estate industry discussion Saturday at the 2009 NAR Conference & Expo.

John L. Scott Real Estate chairman and CEO J. Lennox Scott said expansion of the tax credit to include repeat buyers will help boost middle-market sales next year, although mortgage financing above the $417,000 non-jumbo conforming loan limit will remain a challenge. “The repeat tax credit will at least start a conversation about buying” among existing home owners, Scott said. Read more

Things Are Looking Up: 2010 Economic Forecast

A large crowd of REALTORS®, many with coffee cups in hand, snapping photos with iPhones and Blackberries, packed a ball room this morning to hear NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun discuss housing market trends and the economic outlook.

Yun kicked off his presentation by telling the capacity crowd that things are looking up with the recent extension and expansion of the home buyer tax credit and home prices beginning to stabilize. While the U.S. economy still faces some significant challenges, including high unemployment, Yun says there are a number of reasons for REALTORS® to feel optimistic about 2010: “The momentum is building. . .”

According to Yun, the tax credit has already delivered a significant boost to the economy, bringing 350,000 to 400,000 buyers to the housing market so far. The extended and expanded home buyer tax credit will help to release pent-up demand, bringing more buyers–including move-up buyers–into the market and increasing market velocity. Yun estimates that in 2010, thanks to the credit and home price stabilization, home sales should increase by 15%–an estimate that he was careful to explain is extremely conservative. Home values, which Yun stressed are key to durable economic recovery, will begin to become positive in 2010.

To check out NAR’s Economic Forecast or the slide show presentation, visit NAR Research’s home page.

Jumbo Freeze Might be Thawing

By Robert Freedman, senior editor, REALTOR® Magazine
It’s still early but there are signs the availability of jumbo financing might be improving—although underwriting standards probably won’t ease any time soon. That means the days of creditworthy borrowers having a tough time getting financing for an amount over the conforming loan limit might be ending but they’ll still have to come up with a significant down payment and be prepared to show lots of documentation, like three years worth of tax returns instead of the customary two.

NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun says lenders are slowly getting back into the game because the climate of dread is lifting: Wall Street analysts and business executives have recalibrated their performance scenarios to reflect the greatly improved conditions among lower-priced homes (thanks to the home buyer tax credit and steeply discounted pricing). That in turn is creating a virtuous cycle as the improved scenarios help relax concerns over the economy, pushing up equities, which in turn creates the wealth that further increases confidence.
Read more

Can You Afford to Say No to FHA Borrowers?

By Robert Freedman, Senior Editor, REALTOR® magazine

Hopefully you don’t consider it a mark against buyers if they want to use FHA financing. It’s true it typically takes longer to process FHA-backed financing than it does conventional loan applications, but with the challenging credit environment, for a big chunk of your potential clientele the only financing available to them is FHA. What’s more, these days it’s taking longer to get conventional financing applications processed, so the time gap between the two has narrowed considerably.

Yet here in NAR we continue to hear that sellers—and some sales associates—are discouraging FHA borrowers from making offers on homes in the outdated belief that FHA is significantly slower and more paper-intensive than conventional financing.

Not true, says NAR Senior Policy Analyst Megan Booth. While it’s the case FHA still requires borrowers to jump through some hoops that don’t apply to conventional borrowers, the agency has undergone a sea-change in the last several years in the way it does business. Read more

Connecting Joblessness to Houselessness

By Brian Summerfield, Online Editor, REALTOR® Magazine

Although it isn’t difficult to establish a connection between rising unemployment and the crisis in the housing market, I haven’t come across many things that demonstrate this relationship more starkly than a multimedia map developed by TIP Strategies Inc., an economic development consultancy.

Without even really trying, this map demonstrates the alignment between the precipitous loss of jobs in the United States, and the collapse of housing prices and spike in foreclosures in certain areas. Read more

An Upturn in the Housing Market: What do You Think?

After months of a sluggish housing market, are some markets finally starting to see a pick up in home sales? We asked real estate pros from across the country, who are attending this year’s Midyear Legislative meetings in Washington, D.C., to share their thoughts on the market conditions where they live. Watch a short video to hear what they had to say and then tell us what you’re seeing in your local market.

Real Estate Summit Highlights, Part II

By Brian Summerfield, Online Editor, Realtor® Magazine

In an agricultural metaphor not unlike Ben Bernanke’s “green shoots” of economic recovery, Dr. Alan Greenspan said Americans are beginning to see the “seeds” of a bottom in the housing market in a keynote address at NAR’s 2009 Midyear Meetings. (Watch video highlights.) The former Federal Reserve Board Chairman kicked off the afternoon portion of the Real Estate Summit today. Read more